← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.34+3.05vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.58+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.17+1.44vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.78+1.11vs Predicted
-
5Yale University0.07+2.72vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.04-0.79vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.40vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+0.13vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-0.02-1.52vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.48vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-0.66-1.25vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-1.04vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.33vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-0.40-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05Brown University1.3417.4%1st Place
-
3.88Roger Williams University1.5818.9%1st Place
-
4.44Northeastern University1.1714.5%1st Place
-
5.11Tufts University0.7811.7%1st Place
-
7.72Yale University0.074.6%1st Place
-
5.21University of Rhode Island1.0410.2%1st Place
-
8.4University of New Hampshire-0.003.1%1st Place
-
8.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.094.3%1st Place
-
7.48Salve Regina University-0.024.1%1st Place
-
9.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.9%1st Place
-
9.75Fairfield University-0.662.2%1st Place
-
10.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.201.6%1st Place
-
11.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.9%1st Place
-
8.7Bates College-0.403.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 18.9% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Gregory Dillon | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% |
| Andrew White | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 25.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 36.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.