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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.45+6.82vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.79+4.55vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+4.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.40+4.04vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+3.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+5.81vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.48-0.43vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-4.36vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.20+2.51vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-5.73vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.06+1.12vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-5.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+2.10vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-4.47vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.01+0.16vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.87-3.47vs Predicted
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18Princeton University-0.81+0.02vs Predicted
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19Columbia University-0.31-2.06vs Predicted
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20Washington College1.63-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.55George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.64Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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5.27Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.12Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.32George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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16.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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10.53Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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16.16Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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18.02Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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16.94Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.03Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wilkinson | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 13.7% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Oldroyd | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 15.0% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 14.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 11.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 14.6% |
| Andrew Green | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 45.4% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.