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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+4.25vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+2.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+1.06vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.58-0.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.07+2.78vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.66+3.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.02+0.22vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.04-3.86vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.55vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-0.02vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.47vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.40-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Tufts University0.7812.1%1st Place
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4.42Northeastern University1.1714.5%1st Place
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4.06Brown University1.3417.2%1st Place
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3.88Roger Williams University1.5818.0%1st Place
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7.78Yale University0.074.5%1st Place
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9.8Fairfield University-0.662.3%1st Place
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7.22Salve Regina University-0.025.5%1st Place
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9.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.4%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island1.0410.5%1st Place
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8.45University of New Hampshire-0.002.9%1st Place
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10.98Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.201.6%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.093.7%1st Place
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11.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.1%1st Place
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8.65Bates College-0.403.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 12.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 18.0% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Andrew White | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Gregory Dillon | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 26.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 37.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.