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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+4.18vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+2.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.04+1.02vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.66+4.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+1.76vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.02+0.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.58-4.18vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.76vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.50vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.44vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.40-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Tufts University0.7811.8%1st Place
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4.35Northeastern University1.1715.9%1st Place
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4.1Brown University1.3416.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island1.0411.5%1st Place
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9.63Fairfield University-0.662.4%1st Place
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7.76Yale University0.073.9%1st Place
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7.45Salve Regina University-0.025.5%1st Place
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3.82Roger Williams University1.5818.9%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.093.4%1st Place
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8.5University of New Hampshire-0.003.5%1st Place
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11.12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.201.2%1st Place
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11.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.4%1st Place
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8.73Bates College-0.402.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.2% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Gregory Dillon | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| George Higham | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| James Sullivan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 26.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 37.6% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.