Race 1B

sunday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Bailey 26.7% 20.4% 19.4% 13.5% 9.6% 6.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Purcell 15.8% 16.6% 14.4% 13.8% 13.1% 10.8% 7.1% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 14.1% 13.5% 13.1% 15.4% 15.2% 10.2% 9.5% 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 13.8% 15.8% 16.4% 13.6% 13.2% 11.2% 7.6% 5.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Norman Walker 2.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 5.2% 6.6% 9.2% 12.8% 13.5% 15.8% 16.5% 8.6%
Dominic Ioime 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 10.7% 10.8% 15.2% 15.1% 14.1% 8.5%
Keller Morrison 10.6% 11.5% 12.4% 13.9% 12.7% 11.9% 10.3% 7.8% 5.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Mallory Reading 4.1% 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.8% 9.9% 11.5% 12.8% 13.7% 11.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6%
Garrett Moen 2.8% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.4% 10.2% 12.7% 13.7% 13.2% 12.2% 8.2% 2.9%
Gray Dinsel 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 4.9% 7.0% 7.7% 11.1% 14.0% 16.4% 16.8% 10.7%
Lucas Zheng 5.6% 5.1% 6.5% 8.6% 9.4% 11.6% 13.1% 13.9% 10.1% 8.6% 4.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Clayton Greig 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 5.6% 6.2% 9.6% 12.4% 15.3% 21.1% 16.8%
Ilya McCune-Pedit 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 4.7% 6.8% 10.6% 15.8% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.