Race 2B

sunday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Anthony Purcell 14.9% 16.5% 16.0% 14.9% 12.9% 9.9% 7.0% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
William Bailey 26.9% 22.1% 17.1% 13.1% 9.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 11.0% 11.1% 12.7% 13.0% 13.5% 12.7% 9.8% 7.5% 5.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 13.4% 14.2% 14.4% 13.2% 14.1% 11.1% 9.0% 5.7% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Zheng 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 11.5% 14.3% 11.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Meredith Broadus 15.1% 15.2% 14.6% 15.2% 12.8% 10.9% 8.9% 4.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Mallory Reading 4.5% 4.3% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 9.4% 12.4% 13.7% 13.3% 11.9% 7.0% 5.1% 1.5%
Norman Walker 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 5.6% 8.5% 8.7% 10.8% 14.0% 15.1% 16.2% 9.8%
Garrett Moen 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 8.2% 10.7% 11.8% 13.2% 13.2% 11.9% 7.5% 2.5%
Gray Dinsel 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 3.4% 4.4% 6.0% 7.3% 11.2% 13.9% 15.3% 17.8% 12.6%
Clayton Greig 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.0% 6.6% 10.1% 12.9% 16.6% 18.8% 16.2%
Dominic Ioime 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 3.3% 6.0% 5.8% 10.4% 11.7% 12.8% 16.2% 14.9% 9.2%
Ilya McCune-Pedit 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 4.4% 5.3% 6.5% 10.9% 17.3% 47.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.