Race 3B

sunday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Bailey 25.9% 21.5% 18.8% 13.5% 9.3% 6.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 14.3% 14.4% 13.6% 13.7% 14.8% 11.1% 8.3% 5.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Meredith Broadus 15.0% 15.8% 15.7% 14.8% 13.0% 8.8% 8.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Purcell 16.9% 15.4% 15.4% 12.6% 13.5% 10.8% 7.0% 5.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Lucas Zheng 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 8.3% 8.9% 11.8% 12.6% 14.8% 10.3% 9.0% 4.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Norman Walker 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 5.1% 7.3% 8.2% 11.5% 13.4% 17.2% 15.9% 9.1%
Garrett Moen 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 11.6% 13.9% 14.5% 11.2% 6.9% 2.6%
Dominic Ioime 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 5.4% 6.7% 8.7% 11.3% 14.1% 16.1% 15.4% 8.4%
Mallory Reading 3.0% 3.9% 5.2% 5.6% 7.8% 10.1% 11.7% 13.2% 14.9% 10.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3%
Clayton Greig 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 2.2% 3.1% 5.1% 8.0% 9.7% 11.2% 15.8% 21.1% 16.4%
Gray Dinsel 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 7.8% 11.2% 14.3% 15.2% 17.2% 10.3%
Ilya McCune-Pedit 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 7.1% 9.5% 16.7% 51.2%
Keller Morrison 11.1% 11.1% 12.2% 13.1% 11.7% 12.6% 11.9% 8.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.