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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.45+6.28vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.71+8.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+1.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+8.25vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.40+2.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.51+1.23vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.28+1.27vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.79-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.87+4.38vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63+0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.90vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-7.19vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.48-5.39vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.31+2.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+0.89vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.06-3.28vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.20-4.87vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.01-1.87vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-9.65vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-0.81-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.26Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.56Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.23Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.11George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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13.38University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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10.59Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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4.81Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University2.480.1%1st Place
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16.95Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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15.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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12.72Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.13SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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16.13Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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17.98Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Wilkinson | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 16.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Austin | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 16.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Oldroyd | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 25.2% |
| Andrew Mueller | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 12.6% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Smyth | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 14.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.