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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Bailey 27.4% 22.8% 16.8% 13.3% 9.0% 4.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 13.8% 12.7% 13.9% 14.1% 15.2% 11.3% 9.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 15.3% 15.3% 14.7% 13.7% 11.8% 13.1% 7.8% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Zheng 4.7% 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 10.1% 11.6% 12.3% 13.0% 11.8% 8.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.9%
Garrett Moen 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 4.8% 6.3% 6.7% 10.8% 12.8% 13.2% 13.8% 10.0% 7.5% 3.3%
Anthony Purcell 14.1% 15.3% 16.0% 15.4% 13.1% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Gerrit Bittmann 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.7% 7.0% 10.1% 10.8% 13.6% 12.3% 11.2% 9.4% 4.0% 0.9%
Keller Morrison 11.2% 11.7% 12.0% 11.8% 13.2% 13.2% 11.0% 8.2% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Norman Walker 1.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 5.8% 7.8% 12.2% 14.9% 16.1% 16.7% 8.8%
Dominic Ioime 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 3.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.7% 9.2% 11.8% 12.7% 15.8% 16.5% 9.2%
Clayton Greig 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.7% 5.3% 6.6% 10.1% 12.3% 15.2% 19.1% 18.1%
Gray Dinsel 1.7% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 4.8% 6.7% 9.0% 11.7% 15.0% 15.5% 16.9% 9.7%
Ilya McCune-Pedit 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 4.0% 6.3% 11.2% 17.0% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.