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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.24+1.96vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+2.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+1.08vs Predicted
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4Yale University-0.42+2.55vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-1.01+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.67-1.93vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.33-3.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.25vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.48-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.77-1.10vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Roger Williams University1.2427.4%1st Place
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4.32Northeastern University0.2313.8%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University0.6615.3%1st Place
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6.55Yale University-0.424.7%1st Place
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7.91Salve Regina University-1.013.3%1st Place
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4.07University of Rhode Island0.6714.1%1st Place
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7.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.2%1st Place
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4.8Brown University0.3311.2%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.1%1st Place
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9.2Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.481.8%1st Place
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9.9University of New Hampshire-1.770.9%1st Place
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9.37Bates College-1.551.7%1st Place
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11.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.630.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Bailey | 27.4% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ben Palmer | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Meredith Broadus | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lucas Zheng | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Garrett Moen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
Anthony Purcell | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Gerrit Bittmann | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Keller Morrison | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Norman Walker | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 8.8% |
Dominic Ioime | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 9.2% |
Clayton Greig | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
Gray Dinsel | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 9.7% |
Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.