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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+3.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.48+5.43vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.45+4.66vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+0.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.40+2.68vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.28+2.32vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.79-0.50vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.51-0.84vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63+1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.87+3.49vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.69vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.71-1.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-0.32vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.20-1.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+0.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-6.88vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.01-0.94vs Predicted
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18Drexel University1.06-5.11vs Predicted
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19Princeton University-0.81-1.07vs Predicted
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20Columbia University-0.31-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Fordham University3.250.2%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.66SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.16Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.59Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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15.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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16.06Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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12.89Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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17.93Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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16.96Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Oldroyd | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 17.5% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Green | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Liana Folger | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 13.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 43.3% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 23.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.