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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.67+2.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.24-0.04vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.48+5.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.33-0.15vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.23-1.84vs Predicted
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7Yale University-0.42-0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+1.20vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.55+0.43vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.70-2.69vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-1.01-3.09vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-0.71vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.77-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Tufts University0.6614.6%1st Place
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4.15University of Rhode Island0.6715.6%1st Place
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2.96Roger Williams University1.2427.6%1st Place
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9.3Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.481.2%1st Place
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4.85Brown University0.3310.0%1st Place
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4.16Northeastern University0.2314.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University-0.425.3%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.5%1st Place
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9.43Bates College-1.551.1%1st Place
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7.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.704.2%1st Place
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7.91Salve Regina University-1.013.2%1st Place
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11.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.630.5%1st Place
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9.9University of New Hampshire-1.771.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 15.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 27.6% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ioime | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 8.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Zheng | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 9.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 10.6% |
| Mallory Reading | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Garrett Moen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 48.1% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.