Race 6A

stony-brook-cup-brendan-brown-mccue

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.7% 10.2% 11.3% 12.2% 13.4% 13.2% 11.3% 9.0% 8.2% 3.5%
Andrew Martin 9.2% 8.8% 11.1% 13.1% 13.4% 12.4% 11.2% 10.0% 6.9% 4.0%
Gus Hankinson 3.4% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 7.0% 9.6% 10.8% 14.0% 17.3% 24.5%
Niall Powers Ozyurt 21.2% 19.6% 17.9% 15.0% 11.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Brendan van Riper 3.8% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 9.0% 10.3% 12.4% 16.0% 16.0% 12.7%
Chase O'Malley 29.6% 26.1% 17.7% 12.7% 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Julia Marich 3.2% 2.9% 4.0% 3.8% 5.7% 7.1% 9.6% 12.5% 19.8% 31.4%
Alice Kilkelly 3.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.6% 9.2% 9.6% 12.4% 14.1% 16.6% 16.0%
Sophia Dimont 9.8% 8.9% 11.2% 11.9% 13.1% 11.5% 13.0% 10.9% 6.6% 2.9%
Julia Gordon 8.3% 8.8% 9.8% 11.2% 11.8% 13.5% 13.2% 10.8% 7.6% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.