Race 5A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Carney 8.3% 9.7% 9.9% 10.3% 11.1% 8.8% 9.5% 8.1% 7.3% 6.7% 4.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 4.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.4% 10.7% 16.3% 17.3% 9.6%
Samuel Ingham 31.9% 24.3% 15.4% 10.0% 8.0% 4.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Saunders 5.0% 8.3% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 9.6% 8.1% 9.0% 8.7% 9.2% 8.3% 5.7% 3.2% 0.6%
Nikolas Osvalds 7.9% 8.8% 10.3% 11.6% 9.5% 8.9% 9.5% 8.7% 8.3% 5.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1%
David Alfonso 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 9.6% 11.1% 8.7% 10.9% 7.3% 7.8% 6.1% 4.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.1%
John Vrolyk 4.2% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 5.6% 7.5% 6.4% 10.2% 8.5% 10.3% 10.9% 9.8% 7.3% 1.4%
Colin Santangelo 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 7.4% 10.7% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 4.3% 0.8%
Quentin Chafee 7.1% 6.0% 7.3% 7.9% 8.7% 10.2% 9.7% 9.6% 9.1% 8.0% 8.1% 5.2% 2.0% 1.1%
William Hutchings 8.1% 8.0% 9.6% 11.6% 9.2% 10.3% 9.8% 7.6% 8.6% 6.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Jeff Goodrich 5.8% 5.3% 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 8.6% 8.5% 9.7% 9.5% 9.1% 8.2% 5.7% 1.1%
Tommy Holmberg 2.5% 3.8% 4.8% 3.7% 5.3% 6.9% 6.0% 7.7% 9.5% 11.3% 11.3% 12.5% 9.7% 5.0%
John Fonte 1.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.0% 2.1% 3.5% 4.6% 6.3% 15.4% 60.1%
Juan Forrer 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 4.1% 3.4% 4.8% 7.3% 7.1% 14.4% 29.4% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.