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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+1.71vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.57vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+0.15vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Christopher Newport University0.4822.6%1st Place
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3.71University of Maryland-0.0813.1%1st Place
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2.43Virginia Tech0.7331.4%1st Place
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4.15Catholic University of America-0.3810.2%1st Place
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4.43William and Mary-0.677.5%1st Place
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3.45University of Pittsburgh0.0715.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 22.6% | 23.7% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 16.4% |
| Aidan Young | 31.4% | 27.3% | 19.8% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Alex Walters | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 22.9% | 27.7% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 36.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 15.2% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.