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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+1.82vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.67+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.73vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+0.14vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.73-2.55vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Christopher Newport University0.4823.8%1st Place
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4.5William and Mary-0.677.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Maryland-0.0812.6%1st Place
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4.14Catholic University of America-0.3810.4%1st Place
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2.45Virginia Tech0.7330.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Pittsburgh0.0716.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 23.8% | 23.5% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 23.1% | 36.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| Alex Walters | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 28.4% |
| Aidan Young | 30.1% | 27.3% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Stanley Galloway | 16.0% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.