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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+1.77vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.44vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-0.30vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Christopher Newport University0.4825.0%1st Place
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2.44Virginia Tech0.7332.8%1st Place
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4.21Catholic University of America-0.388.3%1st Place
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3.7University of Maryland-0.0811.8%1st Place
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4.37William and Mary-0.677.3%1st Place
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3.52University of Pittsburgh0.0714.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 25.0% | 23.6% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Young | 32.8% | 25.3% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Alex Walters | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 29.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 11.8% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 34.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 14.8% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.