Race 1A

nittany-lion-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Morrissey 12.6% 13.3% 12.6% 14.5% 17.2% 12.8% 11.2% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Joe Farned 24.4% 24.0% 17.3% 15.0% 9.4% 5.6% 3.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Shanahan 13.5% 14.4% 14.1% 15.4% 15.2% 13.7% 10.4% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Courtney Williams 7.3% 9.6% 10.3% 11.9% 13.0% 18.5% 17.2% 10.3% 1.9% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 4.1% 4.2% 8.3% 7.5% 9.8% 14.0% 21.6% 22.3% 8.2% 0.0%
Thomas Carman 13.7% 13.6% 13.6% 17.8% 15.0% 13.7% 8.6% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 20.6% 17.7% 19.2% 13.2% 14.0% 9.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Polli 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 3.7% 6.1% 16.9% 66.6% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 8.7% 16.6% 36.8% 21.9% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 8.7% 16.6% 36.8% 21.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.