Race 2A

nittany-lion-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Morrissey 12.5% 12.2% 13.6% 15.2% 16.1% 15.1% 10.4% 4.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Courtney Williams 6.1% 6.5% 10.2% 10.9% 15.1% 19.2% 17.3% 11.5% 3.2% 0.0%
Thomas Carman 13.9% 12.0% 16.2% 15.8% 15.1% 12.4% 10.5% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
John Shanahan 13.5% 15.7% 16.0% 16.6% 14.7% 12.2% 8.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 9.5% 14.3% 34.7% 22.1% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 9.5% 14.3% 34.7% 22.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Polli 0.5% 0.8% 1.8% 0.9% 2.6% 3.0% 7.4% 17.7% 65.3% 0.0%
Chris Pomerleau 4.3% 3.6% 5.4% 7.8% 8.4% 13.9% 25.5% 23.8% 7.3% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 19.2% 21.7% 15.7% 15.6% 12.3% 9.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Joe Farned 28.0% 25.0% 17.2% 12.2% 9.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.