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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+1.76vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.48vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-0.30vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.07-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Christopher Newport University0.4824.2%1st Place
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2.48Virginia Tech0.7330.7%1st Place
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4.18Catholic University of America-0.3810.2%1st Place
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3.7University of Maryland-0.0811.7%1st Place
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4.47William and Mary-0.676.9%1st Place
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3.41University of Pittsburgh0.0716.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 24.2% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Young | 30.7% | 25.6% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Alex Walters | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| Jared Cohen | 11.7% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 15.9% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 38.5% |
| Stanley Galloway | 16.3% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.