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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.88+0.21vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70+2.81vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.23+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.80-0.05vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.35-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.80-2.05vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.08-1.19vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-1.75-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.21Webb Institute2.880.8%1st Place
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4.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.01Penn State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Rochester-0.800.0%1st Place
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4.21Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Rochester-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.81Penn State University-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.29Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rockwell | 81.7% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kelley | 2.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Viteri | 5.0% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Chia | 4.4% | 22.3% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Graveley | 1.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 3.6% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Graveley | 1.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Nelson | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 20.3% | 51.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily McCarthy | 0.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 27.7% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.