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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.10+2.66vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.85+0.29vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.04-1.76vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.61-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.09-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.1012.2%1st Place
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2.53William and Mary-0.1826.7%1st Place
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3.29University of Maryland-0.8515.8%1st Place
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2.24Christopher Newport University0.0435.1%1st Place
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4.37William and Mary-1.615.9%1st Place
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4.91University of Pittsburgh-2.094.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Corckran | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 12.3% |
| Sam Dutilly | 26.7% | 28.1% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 15.8% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| Gail Schneider | 35.1% | 28.6% | 20.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Levi Nathans | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 27.9% | 28.1% |
| Kelly Katilius | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 21.2% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.