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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.88+0.19vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.02+1.70vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-1.75+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.80+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-0.19vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.23-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.80-2.02vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-2.08-1.23vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.19Webb Institute2.880.8%1st Place
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3.7University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
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6.32Ocean County College-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Rochester-0.800.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.04Penn State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Rochester-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.77Penn State University-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.18Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rockwell | 83.1% | 14.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Chia | 5.0% | 22.2% | 24.5% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily McCarthy | 1.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 27.2% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Graveley | 1.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kelley | 1.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Viteri | 3.9% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Graveley | 1.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Nelson | 0.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 24.1% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 2.5% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.