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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.85+2.31vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+0.61vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25-0.41vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.04-1.64vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.61-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Maryland-0.8514.1%1st Place
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2.61William and Mary-0.1823.8%1st Place
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2.59Virginia Tech-0.2525.4%1st Place
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2.36Christopher Newport University0.0430.9%1st Place
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4.12William and Mary-1.615.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 14.1% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 30.1% | 22.3% |
| Sam Dutilly | 23.8% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 8.4% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 25.4% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 7.9% |
| Gail Schneider | 30.9% | 26.6% | 23.4% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Levi Nathans | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.