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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+8.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+10.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+1.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69+0.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.35vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-1.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-1.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.37vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.19-4.28vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-2.80vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.80-1.52vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.41-9.12vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.83-11.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.72Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.48Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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15.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 6.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| John Cappetta | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 26.8% | 16.8% |
| Rory Egan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 13.4% | 68.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.