Race 6A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Solomon Tarlin 3.2% 1.6% 3.2% 2.6% 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 6.7% 6.8% 6.9% 11.8% 16.6% 18.5% 8.7%
George Saunders 6.7% 8.7% 6.9% 9.2% 8.5% 9.5% 7.9% 8.2% 10.1% 9.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.4% 0.5%
Quentin Chafee 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 6.2% 9.0% 10.5% 8.9% 8.9% 9.3% 7.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7%
Colin Santangelo 4.9% 6.5% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 8.5% 10.0% 9.1% 8.4% 10.7% 7.3% 7.0% 4.2% 0.7%
Kyle Carney 7.3% 8.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.1% 10.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 6.5% 5.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
David Alfonso 8.4% 8.8% 9.9% 10.6% 11.4% 10.4% 8.1% 7.9% 8.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.3%
William Hutchings 9.1% 10.0% 11.2% 10.5% 10.7% 8.2% 9.9% 9.0% 7.6% 5.8% 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Jeff Goodrich 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 9.4% 10.3% 7.8% 4.6% 1.4%
Samuel Ingham 28.8% 23.3% 16.6% 11.5% 7.8% 5.5% 3.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Vrolyk 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 7.5% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 9.0% 9.4% 10.6% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.4% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Tommy Holmberg 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 6.7% 5.5% 8.1% 7.7% 8.3% 10.8% 12.2% 10.9% 11.5% 4.4%
Juan Forrer 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.1% 3.1% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.1% 9.2% 13.6% 27.8% 21.4%
John Fonte 0.8% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 4.4% 8.9% 15.4% 57.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.