← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.63+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.19+6.64vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.84vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.83+2.40vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.69+1.67vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.41+2.03vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.73-0.33vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.19+3.99vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.00+0.57vs Predicted
-
10Bates College1.80+3.35vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.84-0.82vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.18-3.29vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.48-5.29vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.43-6.09vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.54-3.95vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-11.51vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.64Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.4Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
6.67Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.03Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.67Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.99University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
9.57Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
13.35Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
-
10.18Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
8.71Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.71Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.91Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
11.05Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
15.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| David Alfonso | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 7.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| John Cappetta | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 26.1% | 13.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 12.7% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.