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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Auburn University-0.69+3.46vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.97+2.42vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.19+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.08+0.58vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-2.40vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.18-1.25vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.77-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Auburn University-0.6910.0%1st Place
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4.42The Citadel-0.979.8%1st Place
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3.13Ohio University-0.1920.5%1st Place
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4.58University of South Carolina-1.089.2%1st Place
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2.6Georgia Institute of Technology0.1730.4%1st Place
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4.75University of Georgia-1.188.2%1st Place
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4.06North Carolina State University-0.7712.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
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Sara Boyd | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
Nicholas DeConto | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
Siri Schantz | 20.5% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Matt Alburn | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 20.9% |
Theodore Goldenberg | 30.4% | 25.1% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Sarah Weese | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 25.2% |
Jake Montjoy | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.