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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+4.60vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+6.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+3.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+1.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+4.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.91vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-0.94vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.19-2.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.03vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-5.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-2.69vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.80-2.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-11.55vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.56Yale University3.190.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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13.32Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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15.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| David Alfonso | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 6.8% |
| John Cappetta | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 29.7% | 13.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.9% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.