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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+4.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+3.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+4.77vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+1.89vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+1.97vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.40vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+0.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-1.96vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-1.12vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.83-5.51vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.19-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-1.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.95vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.80-3.58vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.65Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.42Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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15.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 8.9% |
| David Alfonso | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 3.2% |
| John Cappetta | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 27.8% | 13.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 12.8% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.