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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+8.07vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+4.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.45vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+1.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+5.04vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+2.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.69-2.10vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.19-1.49vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-2.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.30vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-5.37vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-1.91vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-8.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.26vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.190.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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15.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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15.35Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 1.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| David Alfonso | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 21.9% | 13.6% | 4.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rory Egan | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 26.7% | 53.0% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 33.6% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.