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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+6.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+4.75vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.40vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+1.61vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+1.66vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-3.20vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-4.17vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.19-3.22vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-3.18vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.69-7.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-2.85vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.39vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.74-1.63vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.00-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.66Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.78Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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15.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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15.37Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 4.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 25.8% | 52.0% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 33.7% | 39.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.