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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.47vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28-0.09vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Webb Institute1.7359.5%1st Place
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1.91Columbia University1.2831.6%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.3%1st Place
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3.43Syracuse University-0.993.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 59.5% | 34.4% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Leopold Brandl | 31.6% | 48.4% | 17.6% | 2.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.3% | 10.2% | 45.4% | 39.1% |
| Collin Ross | 3.7% | 7.1% | 31.2% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.