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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+4.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.19+5.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+8.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+5.09vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.630.00vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+1.70vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-2.60vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.62vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-1.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.41-4.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.69-6.16vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-5.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+0.63vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-8.24vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.54Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.09Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.7Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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15.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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15.37Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 4.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Rory Egan | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 25.6% | 52.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 33.4% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.