← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.73+5.48vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.83+4.16vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.18+5.58vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.50vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.48+2.33vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.41+1.91vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.54+3.92vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.19+0.39vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.43-1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont3.63-3.16vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.00-1.60vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.84-2.18vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.69-7.12vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.18vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.19-4.05vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.27vs Predicted
-
18Bates College0.74-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.48Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.16Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.58Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.33Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.91Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
10.92Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.39Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.89Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.4Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
9.82Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
6.88Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
11.95University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
15.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
15.38Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 4.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 27.1% | 52.7% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 10.3% | 32.7% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.