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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.50vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28-0.14vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.22vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Webb Institute1.7358.1%1st Place
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1.86Columbia University1.2832.9%1st Place
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3.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.404.9%1st Place
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3.42Syracuse University-0.994.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 58.1% | 34.8% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
Leopold Brandl | 32.9% | 50.0% | 14.8% | 2.2% |
Kristin Hess | 4.9% | 8.8% | 46.2% | 40.1% |
Collin Ross | 4.1% | 6.4% | 32.6% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.