Race 7A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 27.8% 22.1% 14.6% 12.3% 7.9% 6.8% 3.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Takata 6.6% 9.4% 8.3% 7.2% 9.6% 8.5% 9.1% 10.5% 8.6% 8.8% 6.6% 4.4% 2.0% 0.4%
George Saunders 6.0% 5.6% 8.2% 7.5% 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 10.4% 10.1% 8.8% 11.1% 6.4% 4.0% 0.7%
Colin Santangelo 3.7% 6.6% 6.1% 7.3% 7.8% 7.2% 9.4% 7.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.2% 8.8% 4.1% 1.8%
Kyle Carney 6.5% 7.4% 8.2% 10.4% 9.5% 7.9% 10.1% 8.6% 8.7% 8.0% 6.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Ben Greenfield 15.0% 13.4% 14.3% 12.7% 11.6% 10.3% 6.8% 5.4% 3.5% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
John Vrolyk 4.5% 4.0% 6.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.0% 7.5% 7.3% 11.1% 9.6% 9.1% 12.6% 10.4% 1.7%
Quentin Chafee 6.4% 6.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 9.1% 8.3% 9.7% 7.2% 9.6% 8.0% 7.2% 4.7% 0.9%
David Alfonso 7.6% 7.3% 8.9% 9.5% 9.4% 11.5% 9.6% 8.5% 9.3% 6.6% 6.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Nikolas Osvalds 6.9% 8.3% 9.9% 7.8% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 8.3% 8.6% 7.5% 7.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7%
John Fonte 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.7% 3.2% 7.2% 15.5% 63.4%
James Altreuter 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.7% 6.8% 6.3% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 9.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.0% 2.9%
Juan Forrer 1.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 4.7% 3.3% 4.8% 6.0% 14.1% 31.8% 23.0%
Tommy Holmberg 3.1% 3.4% 2.6% 4.8% 5.4% 5.6% 6.1% 5.7% 7.1% 10.4% 13.4% 16.8% 11.9% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.