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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+5.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.41vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+4.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.89vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-0.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69-1.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.21vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.68vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.19-2.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.41-4.36vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-1.84vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-5.12vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.74-1.64vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.72Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.36Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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15.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| David Alfonso | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 22.0% | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 10.5% | 32.9% | 39.7% |
| Rory Egan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 27.5% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.