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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.49vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+1.17vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+0.46vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.28-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Webb Institute1.7358.3%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.8%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University-0.993.4%1st Place
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1.89Columbia University1.2832.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 58.3% | 34.8% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
Kristin Hess | 5.8% | 9.3% | 47.2% | 37.7% |
Collin Ross | 3.4% | 6.9% | 30.6% | 59.2% |
Leopold Brandl | 32.6% | 49.0% | 15.8% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.