← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.58vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.00+7.22vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.19+5.52vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.73+2.67vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.43+2.55vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.41+1.90vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.63-0.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.19+3.78vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.48-1.29vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.18-1.54vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.83-4.53vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.55vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.84-2.95vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+1.69vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.69-9.30vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.54-6.01vs Predicted
-
18Bates College0.74-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.22Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
8.52Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
-
6.67Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.55Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.91University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.78University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
7.71Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.46Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
6.47Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.05Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
15.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.7Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.99Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
15.35Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Rory Egan | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 25.8% | 53.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.4% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 33.4% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.