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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.50vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28-0.12vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Webb Institute1.7358.8%1st Place
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1.88Columbia University1.2832.1%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.5%1st Place
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3.43Syracuse University-0.993.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 58.8% | 33.1% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
Leopold Brandl | 32.1% | 49.8% | 16.0% | 2.1% |
Kristin Hess | 5.5% | 9.6% | 46.0% | 39.0% |
Collin Ross | 3.6% | 7.5% | 30.9% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.