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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+4.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+3.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.19+3.49vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+2.75vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-0.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19+3.15vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.43vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-1.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.41-5.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-4.57vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-8.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.84-6.13vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.29vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.49Yale University3.190.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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15.38Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 3.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Rory Egan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 26.2% | 52.3% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 32.3% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.