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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.48vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28-0.14vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+0.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Webb Institute1.7359.0%1st Place
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1.86Columbia University1.2833.4%1st Place
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3.48Syracuse University-0.993.0%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.404.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 59.0% | 34.5% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
Leopold Brandl | 33.4% | 48.9% | 15.7% | 2.1% |
Collin Ross | 3.0% | 6.0% | 30.7% | 60.2% |
Kristin Hess | 4.6% | 10.5% | 47.4% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.