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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.19+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.19+6.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41+1.95vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-0.77vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.69-1.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-2.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-3.89vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-2.24vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-1.96vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.48-7.40vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-6.74vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.74-1.61vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University3.190.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.76Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.26Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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15.39Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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15.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Kiss | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 34.6% | 39.3% |
| Rory Egan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 27.8% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.