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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.50vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28-0.15vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.19vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Webb Institute1.7357.6%1st Place
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1.85Columbia University1.2834.2%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.3%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University-0.992.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 57.6% | 35.0% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Leopold Brandl | 34.2% | 49.4% | 14.3% | 2.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.3% | 9.4% | 45.9% | 39.4% |
| Collin Ross | 2.9% | 6.2% | 33.1% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.