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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+2.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+5.96vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+0.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52-0.74vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76+0.95vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47-2.41vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74-0.88vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.72vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-3.95vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.96-5.52vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-5.59vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-0.71vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.95Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.51Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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15.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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13.1Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Needham | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| John Silvestri | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| John Bishara | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 58.7% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.