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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.48vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.28-0.11vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Webb Institute1.7359.0%1st Place
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1.89Columbia University1.2832.0%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.6%1st Place
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3.45Syracuse University-0.993.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 59.0% | 34.2% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Leopold Brandl | 32.0% | 49.0% | 17.1% | 1.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.6% | 9.8% | 46.1% | 38.6% |
| Collin Ross | 3.4% | 7.0% | 30.7% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.