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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.24vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.46vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+0.16vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-1.29-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Webb Institute1.4378.5%1st Place
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2.46Syracuse University-0.3711.8%1st Place
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3.16SUNY Stony Brook-1.314.9%1st Place
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3.14Columbia University-1.294.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 78.5% | 19.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Alec Wyers | 11.8% | 42.9% | 32.6% | 12.7% |
| Adam Zeng | 4.9% | 18.8% | 32.0% | 44.3% |
| Alison Keenan | 4.8% | 19.1% | 33.2% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.