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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.26vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.42vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.31+0.20vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-1.29-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Webb Institute1.4378.1%1st Place
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2.42Syracuse University-0.3712.3%1st Place
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3.2SUNY Stony Brook-1.314.5%1st Place
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3.13Columbia University-1.295.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Payne Donaldson | 78.1% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
Alec Wyers | 12.3% | 45.6% | 29.9% | 12.2% |
Adam Zeng | 4.5% | 17.7% | 31.6% | 46.2% |
Alison Keenan | 5.0% | 18.5% | 35.2% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.