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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.29vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.56vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.29+0.33vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29Webb Institute1.4375.2%1st Place
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2.56Syracuse University-0.3711.9%1st Place
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3.33Columbia University-1.294.4%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 75.2% | 20.5% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 11.9% | 37.4% | 33.2% | 17.5% |
| Alison Keenan | 4.4% | 13.7% | 26.4% | 55.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.5% | 28.4% | 36.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.