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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+7.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.74+6.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+4.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+2.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-1.86vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-3.22vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.55-0.10vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.72vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-3.46vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.47-7.41vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-1.98vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.97-8.62vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.01Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.16Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.14Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.02Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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15.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Marly Isler | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Connor Needham | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 23.0% | 18.6% |
| Christopher Price | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| John Bishara | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.