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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+7.70vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+3.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+5.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+4.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.55+3.02vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.74+1.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-4.80vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-1.98vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.68-2.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.71vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-3.51vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76+0.26vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-2.93vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.47-10.56vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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5.2Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.02Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.49Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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13.07Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Willem Sandberg | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| John Bishara | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 14.5% | 58.3% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 22.0% | 19.5% |
| Connor Needham | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.