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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.31vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.61vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.19vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-1.29-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31Webb Institute1.4373.5%1st Place
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2.61Syracuse University-0.3711.7%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.3%1st Place
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3.28Columbia University-1.295.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 73.5% | 22.3% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 11.7% | 34.4% | 35.5% | 18.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.3% | 28.1% | 35.1% | 27.5% |
| Alison Keenan | 5.5% | 15.3% | 25.3% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.