Race 8A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Saunders 5.5% 5.2% 8.2% 7.3% 9.6% 7.9% 9.8% 8.4% 9.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.2% 5.6% 0.8%
Samuel Ingham 26.8% 25.2% 13.7% 12.4% 8.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Altreuter 4.0% 5.3% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 6.4% 5.6% 8.0% 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.8% 8.1% 1.8%
Colin Santangelo 4.7% 4.9% 6.7% 7.9% 6.9% 8.0% 9.4% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 8.9% 8.9% 4.1% 1.4%
John Vrolyk 3.4% 2.8% 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 8.4% 8.6% 10.1% 11.2% 12.0% 10.1% 3.8%
Quentin Chafee 5.2% 5.9% 6.4% 6.8% 7.7% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 9.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.1% 4.9% 0.6%
Ben Greenfield 16.3% 16.0% 16.3% 11.0% 8.5% 9.9% 8.8% 6.0% 2.2% 2.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 8.3% 8.6% 8.2% 10.8% 9.2% 10.4% 7.3% 9.6% 7.8% 6.1% 6.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Alex Takata 7.0% 5.7% 8.1% 7.4% 9.1% 8.3% 10.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.8% 7.5% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9%
Kyle Carney 6.1% 7.9% 8.0% 10.2% 8.7% 9.9% 7.9% 9.6% 10.1% 8.7% 6.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
David Alfonso 7.9% 7.9% 8.8% 9.7% 10.5% 8.4% 9.9% 8.2% 9.3% 7.9% 5.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Juan Forrer 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 6.2% 7.3% 13.6% 31.5% 23.4%
John Fonte 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 5.9% 16.5% 62.0%
Tommy Holmberg 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.8% 5.7% 6.5% 6.3% 8.0% 8.7% 13.9% 15.6% 12.0% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.