Race 5 - stony-brook-cup | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.4

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Payne Donaldson & Kenna Reed

Webb Institute

1.43

+0.25

vs Predicted
2

Alec Wyers & Erin Splaine

Syracuse University

-0.37

+0.44

vs Predicted
3

Alison Keenan & Rachel Peng

Columbia University

-1.29

+0.15

vs Predicted
4

Adam Zeng & Chih-Yu Liu

SUNY Stony Brook

-1.31

-0.85

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.25

Payne Donaldson & Kenna Reed

Webb Institute

1.43

78.4%

1st Place
2.44

Alec Wyers & Erin Splaine

Syracuse University

-0.37

12.0%

1st Place
3.15

Alison Keenan & Rachel Peng

Columbia University

-1.29

4.7%

1st Place
3.15

Adam Zeng & Chih-Yu Liu

SUNY Stony Brook

-1.31

5.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Payne Donaldson	78.4%	18.2%	3.0%	0.4%
Alec Wyers	12.0%	44.7%	30.3%	13.0%
Alison Keenan	4.7%	18.4%	34.2%	42.6%
Adam Zeng	5.0%	18.6%	32.4%	44.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.