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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+4.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+6.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.96+5.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+4.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74+3.99vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+3.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47-0.64vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.02vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.65+4.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-5.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-4.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-3.61vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-3.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.18vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-6.13vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.26Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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13.12Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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4.93Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.4Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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15.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Marly Isler | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Connor Needham | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 21.7% | 19.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| John Bishara | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.