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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.47+5.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+7.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+3.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+4.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+3.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.96+2.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-2.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.02vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45+1.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55-1.03vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-1.40vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-7.35vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65-0.90vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-5.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-1.82vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.74-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.45Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.65Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.1Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.05Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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15.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Needham | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 14.5% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 20.1% |
| Marly Isler | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| John Bishara | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 55.9% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.