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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.30vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.59vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.29+0.31vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3Webb Institute1.4375.2%1st Place
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2.59Syracuse University-0.3711.9%1st Place
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3.31Columbia University-1.294.5%1st Place
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2.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 75.2% | 20.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Alec Wyers | 11.9% | 36.1% | 32.8% | 19.1% |
| Alison Keenan | 4.5% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 56.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.3% | 27.6% | 40.1% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.