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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+6.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+5.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52+0.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47-0.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.69vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82+0.05vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45+0.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-6.85vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-3.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-3.21vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-1.88vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-0.91vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.76-7.91vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.74-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.15Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.12Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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9.09Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 15.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 20.6% |
| John Bishara | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 57.2% |
| Marly Isler | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.