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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+4.40vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+7.02vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+5.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+3.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88-0.84vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45+3.26vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47-1.70vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76+0.22vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-4.88vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.63vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-4.01vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.82-6.01vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-3.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.77vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.26Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.22Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.97Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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15.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Connor Needham | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Willem Sandberg | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 22.6% | 18.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| John Bishara | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.