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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+0.29vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.58vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.29+0.32vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29Webb Institute1.4375.4%1st Place
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2.58Syracuse University-0.3710.8%1st Place
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3.32Columbia University-1.295.1%1st Place
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2.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payne Donaldson | 75.4% | 20.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 10.8% | 37.0% | 35.1% | 17.0% |
| Alison Keenan | 5.1% | 14.5% | 23.7% | 56.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.7% | 28.1% | 37.5% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.