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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+7.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+4.34vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+2.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.51vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74+4.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+3.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.97+1.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.49-2.31vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76-0.86vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-1.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.93vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-8.76vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-4.41vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-2.89vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-1.68vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.55-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.34Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.79Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.14Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.24Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.59Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.11Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Price | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| J. Jacob | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 24.0% | 19.8% |
| John Bishara | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 58.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.