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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.65+11.85vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.49+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+7.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.11vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+0.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52-0.59vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-0.79vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96-0.31vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72-1.41vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.74-2.66vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-3.79vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-3.42vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-6.53vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.88-10.81vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.85Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.65Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.2Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.58Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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15.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Scribner | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 23.0% | 18.5% |
| J. Jacob | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Price | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Bishara | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.