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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+5.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+5.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+6.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+4.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82+2.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96+0.31vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.49-2.34vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.65+3.21vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.74-1.44vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-6.77vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.97-4.44vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-8.12vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-5.60vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-5.43vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.09Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.21Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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5.23Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.88Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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10.57Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Marly Isler | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| J. Jacob | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 18.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| John Bishara | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 13.4% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.