Race 9A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Saunders 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.6% 8.5% 9.2% 6.1% 4.5% 1.4%
Quentin Chafee 6.0% 7.7% 6.6% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 9.6% 10.0% 9.1% 9.4% 7.4% 5.7% 3.7% 0.9%
David Alfonso 8.5% 9.2% 8.1% 7.9% 11.2% 9.0% 9.6% 8.7% 8.6% 7.8% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Samuel Ingham 25.9% 21.2% 18.4% 11.3% 8.8% 6.5% 3.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Altreuter 3.6% 2.9% 5.1% 5.8% 6.2% 7.9% 7.7% 6.9% 10.2% 9.9% 11.2% 12.6% 8.5% 1.5%
Colin Santangelo 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 7.1% 5.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.3% 10.2% 9.2% 8.9% 5.0% 1.1%
Ben Greenfield 17.2% 15.2% 12.9% 14.0% 11.7% 8.0% 7.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 8.1% 8.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 8.0% 9.3% 8.2% 6.6% 6.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
John Fonte 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 5.6% 15.8% 64.1%
Tommy Holmberg 3.0% 2.1% 3.3% 2.8% 5.2% 4.7% 6.1% 8.8% 8.1% 10.1% 12.1% 15.4% 14.3% 4.0%
John Vrolyk 3.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 4.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.3% 9.4% 10.8% 12.0% 13.3% 9.5% 2.9%
Juan Forrer 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 6.1% 8.7% 13.5% 31.5% 22.5%
Alex Takata 6.6% 8.4% 6.7% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 11.6% 8.4% 8.5% 5.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Kyle Carney 7.1% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.5% 9.8% 10.1% 8.3% 9.7% 7.3% 5.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.