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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+7.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+7.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+5.12vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.49+1.40vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+3.47vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.97+1.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-0.86vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74+0.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-3.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-5.11vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.61vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-2.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.79vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-9.75vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-2.75vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.47Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.14Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.64Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.25Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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13.25Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| J. Jacob | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Price | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| John Silvestri | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| John Bishara | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.