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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+7.34vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+7.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+5.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+4.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.49-0.45vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-2.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.52-2.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.02vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.65+2.16vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-1.57vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-5.52vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.97-5.41vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.56vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.76-7.63vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.76-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.16Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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10.43Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.37Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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15.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| J. Jacob | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 25.7% | 19.2% |
| John Silvestri | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Marly Isler | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| John Bishara | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.