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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.48+2.08vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+0.47vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81-1.71vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09-1.89vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of South Florida1.5425.9%1st Place
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4.08University of Miami0.488.0%1st Place
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3.47Florida State University0.7712.0%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston1.8133.4%1st Place
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3.11University of South Florida1.0918.6%1st Place
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5.42Georgia Institute of Technology-0.942.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 25.9% | 24.8% | 22.7% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 33.1% | 15.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 12.0% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 24.3% | 22.1% | 6.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 33.4% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 18.6% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 13.8% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.