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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.90+6.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+3.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+5.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.94+3.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+1.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.34+3.26vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.95vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.44-2.77vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.73vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.70-1.99vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.36-1.87vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.45-3.04vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.02vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-4.64vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.32-2.28vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.35-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.96Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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13.72Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Edmunds | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| George Luber | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 36.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 19.1% | 30.4% |
| Ian White | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.