Race 1A

saturday-salve-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Santiago Hirschmann 19.8% 20.6% 18.6% 15.7% 12.6% 7.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Tyler Egeli 11.6% 12.6% 15.8% 16.6% 16.1% 12.7% 7.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Declan Botwinick 33.6% 23.8% 17.7% 12.4% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Frary 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 7.0% 11.6% 12.2% 15.5% 14.8% 11.9% 9.2% 3.9%
Ryan Magill 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 7.0% 8.3% 10.7% 14.0% 15.0% 17.0% 11.1% 5.7%
Garrett Moen 1.9% 3.0% 2.5% 3.5% 4.7% 9.0% 10.2% 15.6% 16.9% 20.4% 12.3%
Adam Larzelere 16.0% 17.8% 19.2% 16.1% 12.3% 10.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Beck Lorsch 5.1% 6.8% 9.2% 11.2% 13.1% 14.5% 15.1% 11.3% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4%
Will Rudaz 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 7.4% 9.2% 13.5% 17.7% 21.3% 17.9%
Andrew White 3.5% 3.3% 4.2% 5.5% 7.6% 9.2% 13.8% 14.1% 16.0% 15.6% 7.2%
Jack Sullivan 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 4.5% 7.4% 9.6% 17.0% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.