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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.47vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.17+1.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.06vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.40+2.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16-1.66vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.23+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.96+0.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.07-3.60vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.01-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Rhode Island1.8032.7%1st Place
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3.24Northeastern University1.1719.4%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7211.6%1st Place
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6.1Bates College-0.404.5%1st Place
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3.34Tufts University1.1618.4%1st Place
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6.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.5%1st Place
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7.63University of New Hampshire-1.231.7%1st Place
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8.8University of Connecticut-1.960.9%1st Place
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5.4Yale University0.075.5%1st Place
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7.36Salve Regina University-1.011.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Declan Botwinick | 32.7% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Santiago Hirschmann | 19.4% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Tyler Egeli | 11.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Cameron Frary | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
Adam Larzelere | 18.4% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ryan Magill | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 6.8% |
Will Rudaz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 20.3% |
Jack Sullivan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 53.2% |
Beck Lorsch | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
Garrett Moen | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 23.3% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.