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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Declan Botwinick 32.7% 25.2% 20.1% 11.7% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Santiago Hirschmann 19.4% 20.2% 19.2% 16.7% 13.4% 6.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 11.6% 15.1% 14.1% 18.1% 15.7% 13.4% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Cameron Frary 4.5% 4.2% 6.5% 8.2% 11.8% 16.9% 18.0% 15.3% 10.9% 3.8%
Adam Larzelere 18.4% 18.9% 19.9% 16.7% 12.3% 8.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Magill 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 7.2% 9.4% 13.0% 17.2% 18.8% 16.0% 6.8%
Will Rudaz 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 5.9% 8.3% 13.2% 18.4% 23.5% 20.3%
Jack Sullivan 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 3.8% 5.9% 11.0% 19.1% 53.2%
Beck Lorsch 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 12.0% 15.9% 17.8% 15.6% 10.9% 5.7% 1.4%
Garrett Moen 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 6.9% 8.9% 14.7% 19.5% 23.3% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.